Report of 22-10-2020

Bullion prices fell as the dollar strengthened, with investors digesting a warning about foreign interference in the U.S. election along with dimming prospects for a stimulus deal before the November vote. A top U.S. intelligence official warned that Iran and Russia are trying to interfere in the election campaign by encouraging the spread of false information. Gold prices have been trading in uptrend channel, trading higher yesterday, strong support is around Rs 50300 and resistance around Rs 51300. Silver prices are continuously taking support at uptrend channel on daily charts, strong support at Rs 58500 and 61000

Report of 21-10-2020

Gold rose on renewed optimism for a pre-election aid package in the U.S., while the dollar fell to a one-week low. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said a bill for a compromise stimulus package is being written as she awaits a key phone call with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said his chamber would take up a comprehensive coronavirus package if an accord is struck. Total Gold supplies from Europe’s key refining hub decreased to 105.9 tons last month, down from 112 tons in August. Exports to India dropped 75% to 5 tons.

Report of 20-10-2020

Physical gold dealers in India charged a premium over official domestic prices for the second week in a row as jewellers stocked up ahead of the festive season. Demand from dealers has been improving slowly while a sharp drop in September imports also allowed dealers to charge a premium.  The outlook for COMEX Gold is negative as it grinds lower toward its 100-day moving average, within a bearish descending pattern. That could turn into a more severe selloff if the hopes of a pre-election stimulus package are snuffed out within the next 24 hours when Nancy Pelosi’s time deadline passes.

Report of 19-10-2020

Gold was steady after a weekly drop as investors weighed a flurry of weekend developments that spurred some optimism that a U.S. stimulus package may be agreed as well as rising coronavirus cases  Indian Gold imports, which have a bearing on the current account deficit (CAD), plunged 57 per cent to USD 6.8 billion (around Rs 50,658 crore) during the first half of this fiscal amid a slump in demand due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Report of 16-10-2020

Gold’s been trading in a narrow range so far in October amid uncertainty surrounding the prospects of a stimulus deal being passed before the Nov. 3 US presidential election. The International Monetary Fund has said that more public spending will be needed to complete the economic recovery from coronavirus. Gold prices have been trading in uptrend channel, trading indecisive yesterday, strong support is around Rs 50250 and resistance around Rs 50800.

Report of 15-10-2020

Gold’s been doing nothing much for the past few weeks, yoyo-ing around between the 50-DMA and 100-DMA, with moves determined by the dollar. That may be about to change, courtesy of the U.S. electionA thumping Electoral College win for Joe Biden, plus the Dems capturing the Senate, would likely uncork a super-sized stimulus package, hurting the dollar. That could trigger a sharp rally in bullion (and stocks too). Indian Gold prices have been trading in an uptrend channel, having been recovered yesterday, strong support is around Rs 50250 and resistance around Rs 50800.

Report of 14-10-2020

Gold after posting straight weekly gains, headed for a second straight daily loss on yesterday as the dollar’s advance sapped buying interest. Investors turned to the greenback as a haven after a setback in a Covid-19 vaccine trial and deadlocked talks on U.S. economic stimulus. In domestic markets, the seventh tranche of the Sovereign Gold Bond (SGB) Scheme 2020-21 is open for subscription till Friday, which enables investors to buy at comparatively less price. The issue price for the sovereign gold bond has been fixed at Rs 5,051 per gram of gold.

Report of 13-10-2020

Gold retreated for a second straight day as investors weighed uncertainty surrounding U.S. stimulus, together with the looming presidential election and a rebound in the dollar. Gold imports by India slumped in September after a short-lived rebound as high prices prompted buyers to defer purchases. Inbound shipments into the world’s second-biggest bullion consumer fell 38% in September from a year earlier to 8.4 tons. India’s imports in the first nine months of the year are down about 70% to 158 tons.

Report of 12-10-2020

Gold futures settled Friday at their highest in three weeks, up roughly 2% from a week ago as the U.S. dollar lost ground and investors tracked ongoing fiscal stimulus talks in Washington. The latest tranche of sovereign gold bonds has opened for subscription today. The Reserve Bank of India, on behalf of government of India, has fixed issue price at ₹5,051 per gram of gold. Investors who apply online and make payment against the application through digital mode get a discount of ₹50 per gram. For them the issue price is ₹5,001 per gram. The Sovereign Gold Bond Scheme 2020-21-Series VII will close for subscription on October 16.

Report of 09-10-2020

Bullion prices rebounded yesterday as the dollar slipped and U.S. President Donald Trump indicated he was willing to approve a limited virus relief package. Trump’s overnight tweets showed his support for $25 billion to hard-hit airlines and $135 billion for small businesses. According to AMFI, the Indian Gold ETF category received a net inflow of around ₹907.9 crores in August and a net inflow of ₹597.3 crores in September. This year so far, the category has received a net inflow of ₹5,957 crores.

Report of 08-10-2020

Bullion prices in India traded lacklustre on lower demand and taking negative news from International prices. In global markets, gold prices were almost unchanged today on renewed hopes for US stimulus. The outlook for US stimulus improved after President Donald Trump wrote on Twitter that Congress should pass money for airlines, small businesses, and stimulus checks of $1,200 for individuals. Gold tends to benefit from widespread stimulus measures as it is widely viewed as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement. 

Report of 07-10-2020

Gold held the biggest slump in almost two weeks after President Donald Trump ended talks with Democrats on a new fiscal stimulus package until after the November presidential election, a move that roiled financial markets and boosted the dollar. Gold fell by Rs 500 and Silver by almost Rs 1000 in Indian markets. Bullion demand in India is likely to pick up ahead of the festive season, further supported by the recent correction in prices.

Report of 06-10-2020

The sustained demand for the traditional safe haven suggests in western countries that some investors are taking the opportunity to build up positions, expecting the rally to be resumed amid low-interest rates and geopolitical risks. In places like India and China, however, demand for gold has been relatively soft. Buyers in the two biggest consumer markets have either been selling their holdings or borrowing against them. Gold has closed above Rs 50500 levels and is trying to give a breakout above the symmetrical triangle. If prices give a positive closing today, there could be a start of another rally.

Report of 05-10-2020

Macroeconomic factors are pushing investments in precious metals, while bonds have lost their appeal. The weak economy has pushed investments in silver and gold. Investors now believe that the central bank could be expanding the stimulus programme which could make their currency lose value. Gold is not able to sustain above Rs 50500 levels and has formed Inverted Hammer formation of Daily charts which is the sign of reversal.

Report of 02-10-2020

The House of Representatives on Thursday approved a $2.2 trillion coronavirus stimulus proposal put forward by House Democrats with no bipartisan deal in sight. Moreover,  Risk-Off sentiment has emerged in financial markets today which is likely supporting bullion prices as US President Donald Trump and First Lady have been tested COVID positive.  Gold is not able to give substantial breakout or breakdown from the symmetrical triangle. Prices need to sustain above Rs 50700 to resume a bull run again.

Report of 01-10-2020

Gold was steady, heading for a weekly gain, as investors weighed the latest moves by U.S. lawmakers to negotiate a compromise pandemic relief package while also tracking a weakening dollar. While gold prices fell last month, assets in bullion-backed exchange-traded funds expanded. Worldwide Gold ETF holdings rose to about 3,442 tons on Wednesday, that’s close to a record. Silver prices are consolidating between Fibonacci retracement of 38.2% (Rs 61100) and 50% (Rs 55800). Prices need to sustain above 61100 to continue its uptrend.